10-12 September

Outcome added…

August has been ridiculously slow, but with the change of month we seem to be slipping straight back into a standard 7-10 day winter pattern. There’s now a pretty clear repeat event to next week’s, due late in the week following:

Update (1 September): This is firming nicely on the Spag; looking much stronger than this week’s fizzle. Potentially multiple fronts over a couple of days.

Update 2 (3 September): Not so sure now. The models all have action showing, but our best long-range model, ECMWF, currently doesn’t think much of it (smooth isobars bad; bumpy isobars good*):

 
Outcome:

Fizzer. Pretty much all rain, except maybe high on the main range.