One of a series, also see editions: #1, #3, #4, #5
While we wait for the prediction parameters to firm up (El Niño is now even money), it’s worth checking what a naive statistical prediction for 2014 looks like. By naive I mean one that ignores influences external to the snow depth data (like El Niño), not one with weak statistics.
The obvious approach, used in the plot above, is to treat our 60 years of snow depth data (from . . . → Read More: Season 2014 snow depth prediction, #2
