24-27 July


So yes, we got back above the pre-melt depth; in fact well above: 143.8 cm on Wednesday 27th vs 95.1 cm the previous Tuesday

. . . → Read More: 24-27 July

12-13 July

Models agree there’ll be quite a bit of rain Sunday-Monday from the tropical feed ahead of the low, then a nice cold winter blast Tuesday-Wednesday. We should see another net gain in snow depth at Thursday’s measure.

. . . → Read More: 12-13 July

5-6 July


Pretty much as per the update. It looks like there might have been nearly 20 cm at Perisher Valley on Tuesday, then 25 mm of rain Wednesday-Thursday. Victoria looks similar or a little wetter.

. . . → Read More: 5-6 July

30 June - 1 July


About 15cm in NSW, more in Victoria.

On the board, with a bang

And the main event is still coming.

. . . → Read More: On the board, with a bang

Season starter ... at last

Spencers Creek season start

Update (22 June): Tuesday night came through (with good accumulations down to below 1600 m, not 1800 m), so we’re looking forward to seeing a number from you tomorrow, Hydro guys.

. . . → Read More: Season starter … at last

23-25 June

Outcome (27 June):

There was about 90 cm of snowfall in aggregate for this event on my best estimate, a bit under half of which came with the lead-up system starting Tuesday night … which I barely rated initially. Ho hum; wrong again.

It’s interesting to look at where the 500 hPa spaghetti plot finished up, for future future calibration. The blue line did not reach the alps:

Spag plot for Friday morning

  (Note that the blue contours . . . → Read More: 23-25 June

Arctic sea ice update

So far this year the extent of sea ice floating on the northern polar ocean has been off-the-chart low … again. It’s currently about a million square kilometres below the extraordinary record melt year we saw in 2012.

. . . → Read More: Arctic sea ice update

8-10 June


This fizzed, obviously, except many places seem to have scored about 10 cm of snow on the tail, which is better than a kick in the guts.

. . . → Read More: 8-10 June

Tactical Senate voting

The new Australian senate voting system offers an opportunity to vote tactically with significant effect, and without much risk of making a mistake and wasting your vote. It’s worth thinking about.

. . . → Read More: Tactical Senate voting